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Persistent Unmanned ISR: Global Market Analysis and Outlook
(AB080)

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Defense demands for UAV coverage have resulted in skyrocketing
hours-flown statistics within U.S. DoD alone, with 60,000 flight
hours in 2004 soaring to more than 250,000 hours in 2007. “UAS
capabilities and concepts of operation (CONOPS) are ahead of a
defense acquisition curve, meaning ‘rapid’ fielding of new
persistent ISR UAS will still result in UAV shortages from an
end-user standpoint,” according to G2 Solutions’ research
director Ron Stearns. “Pervasive UAS use is happening in spite
of airspace deconfliction issues and varying UAV control
philosophies because the persistent ISR capabilities they bring
are unmatched.”
The 61-page research note AB 080, defines, quantifies and
forecasts unmanned persistent ISR, with a production forecast
running from 2009-2019. G2 Solutions examined hundreds of
unmanned aerial systems (UAS) that are military in nature, in
service or expected to enter service during the forecast
period. In total, 34 UAS and/or future programs are summed to
arrive at the $44.4 billion total market acquisition figure.
Many high-profile UAS-inclusive programs will be awarded and
move to production/delivery in the 2009-2019 timeframe. These
include, but are not limited to: Broad Area Maritime
Surveillance (BAMS), Future Combat Systems (FCS), Watchkeeper,
SkyWarrior, STUAS/Tier II and the United States Air Force Next
Generation UAS. A number of international sales and
service-specific UAS purchases also contribute to this forecast.
Not surprisingly, the integration of a strike capability is both
a major program and cost driver, and militaries will
increasingly be tasked with balancing these two capabilities.
The report includes an installed base revenue and market share
analysis of persistent ISR UAS for 2008, and individual
prime/integrator forecasts by UAS over time.
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